Erdogan's“New Turkey”and the Crisis of“Turkish Model”

Liu Yi Arab World Studies Jan. 2017

Turkey's“abortive coup”in July 2016 portends another highlight of the upheavals in the Middle East since the“Arab Spring”．As a political anomaly，the “New Turkey”is characterized by dynamic economy，strong democracy and proactive diplomacy，the essence of w hich is a restoration of Islam．It aims to go beyond Kemalism as a state ideology．Domestically，after a sequence of election victories of the Justice and Development Party，Islamic democracy has developed into electoral hegemony; internationally，economic development and geo-political position have promoted Turkey's ambition on expansionism.Threatened by both refugee crisis and terrorist attacks，the “New Turkey ”and“Turkish Model”represented by Recep Tayyip Erdogan has nearly gone into bankrupt almost simultaneously．In the new round game betw een Turkey and great pow ers，Erdogan once again showed inconsistency and unpredictability．The future direction of Turkey's politics w ill become a variable in the Middle East and global politics．

埃尔多安“新土耳其”论与“土耳其模式”的危机

《阿拉伯世界研究》2017年第1期

摘要：2016年7月土耳其未遂政变是中东变局以来的又一个高潮事件,其标志着埃尔多安倡导的"新土耳其"论和"土耳其模式"同时陷入危机。作为一种政治主张,"新土耳其"论的主要内容包括强势民主、活力经济和积极外交等思想主张,背后隐藏的却是伊斯兰主义的回归,并被解释为对凯末尔主义传统的超越。在国内层面,正义与发展党连续数次选举成功后,伊斯兰民主逐步演化为以民粹主义为基础的选举霸权;在国际层面,经济发展和地缘政治变动提升了土耳其扩张主义的野心。在土耳其与大国的新一轮博弈中,埃尔多安再次表现出反复无常的特性。未来土耳其的政治走向已成为影响中东地区乃至全球政治的一个重要变量。

基金：上海市教育委员会、上海教育发展基金会“曙光计划”项目(15SG38)资助；

关键词：“新土耳其”;“土耳其模式”;正义与发展党;埃尔多安;

分类号：D737.4